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USD/CNH: Likely to trade in a range between 7.1100 and 7.1250 – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1100 and 7.1250. In the longer run, downward bias is building, but USD must first close below 7.1100 before a sustained decline can be expected, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Downward bias is building

24-HOUR VIEW: "Yesterday, we were of the view that USD 'is likely to trade in a range, likely between 7.1160 and 7.1330.' USD then traded in a range of 7.1142/7.1298, closing largely unchanged at 7.1198 (-0.05%). We are not able to derive much from the price action. Today, we continue to expect USD to trade in a range, most likely between 7.1100 and 7.1250."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We have held the same view since Monday (08 Sep, spot at 7.1285), in which we highlighted that 'while the downward bias is building, USD must first close below 7.1100 before a sustained decline can be expected.' We will maintain our view as long as 7.1400 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) is not breached."

TRY: CBT to cut rate despite needing FX interventions – Commerzbank

Turkey’s central bank (CBT) is nearly unanimously expected to cut its 1-week repo rate by 200bp from 43% to 41% at today’s meeting; there are some outside bets for an even larger cut.
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD retreats to $3,620 amid US Dollar strength

Gold failed to find acceptance above the $3,660 area and is trading lower on Thursday, returning to $3,620, as US Dollar appreciates for the third consecutive day, with all eyes on the US Consumer Prices Index release.
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