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16 Apr 2015
RBA rate cut still on the cards – Westpac
FXStreet (Edinburgh) - In the view of Strategist Sean Callow at Westpac, the likeliness of the RBA to cut rates in the May meeting has been reduced, albeit it is still feasible.
Key Quotes
“After a strikingly large fall in response to the weak China export and import data in Mar, the Aussie has found a new wave of buyers. Some of this was just USD decline. But there has also been some rare support from commodity prices”.
“The cycle low might not be in place but at least it’s some temporary relief for AUD”.
“ Pricing for a cut at the RBA’s May meeting is down to just 55% chance versus 75% after the China trade data”.
Their April statement included a heavy hint of another cut soon and Wed’s Q1 CPI data should show inflation is benign. The economy overall remains sluggish, leaving the RBA leaning towards further easing and AUD/USD unlikely to spend much time above 0.78”.
Key Quotes
“After a strikingly large fall in response to the weak China export and import data in Mar, the Aussie has found a new wave of buyers. Some of this was just USD decline. But there has also been some rare support from commodity prices”.
“The cycle low might not be in place but at least it’s some temporary relief for AUD”.
“ Pricing for a cut at the RBA’s May meeting is down to just 55% chance versus 75% after the China trade data”.
Their April statement included a heavy hint of another cut soon and Wed’s Q1 CPI data should show inflation is benign. The economy overall remains sluggish, leaving the RBA leaning towards further easing and AUD/USD unlikely to spend much time above 0.78”.