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17 Apr 2015
USD remains popular among Japanese retail investors – Nomura
FXStreet (Barcelona) - FX Strategists at Nomura, comment on the weekly JPY flow developments into FX, and further note that dip-buying demand for USD/JPY from retail investors is likely to remain high.
Key Quotes
“The share of retail investors expecting USD/JPY depreciation over the next three months was largely unchanged at 54.8% from the previous survey (54.9%). The reference rate (119.08 as of 6 April) was slightly lower, suggesting that they see a limited upside risk for USD/JPY above 120 in a few months.”
“High-frequency toshin flow data still suggest a stronger preference for foreign assets over domestic assets, and retail investors are building JPY short positions again in the margin trading market. Thus, dip-buying demand for USD/JPY from retail investors is likely to remain high.”
“USD also remains the most popular currency among retail investors. 38.5% of respondents said USD was the most attractive of the eight major currencies, while only 6.3% of respondents said USD was the least attractive.”
“More retail investors judged CNY, EUR, and BRL were unattractive than attractive, while preference for BRL deteriorated further.”
“While near-term expectations for USD/JPY appreciation are declining, USD should still benefit as retail investors accelerate foreign investment.”
Key Quotes
“The share of retail investors expecting USD/JPY depreciation over the next three months was largely unchanged at 54.8% from the previous survey (54.9%). The reference rate (119.08 as of 6 April) was slightly lower, suggesting that they see a limited upside risk for USD/JPY above 120 in a few months.”
“High-frequency toshin flow data still suggest a stronger preference for foreign assets over domestic assets, and retail investors are building JPY short positions again in the margin trading market. Thus, dip-buying demand for USD/JPY from retail investors is likely to remain high.”
“USD also remains the most popular currency among retail investors. 38.5% of respondents said USD was the most attractive of the eight major currencies, while only 6.3% of respondents said USD was the least attractive.”
“More retail investors judged CNY, EUR, and BRL were unattractive than attractive, while preference for BRL deteriorated further.”
“While near-term expectations for USD/JPY appreciation are declining, USD should still benefit as retail investors accelerate foreign investment.”