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Notícias de trading
24 Apr 2015
Central Banks preview - TDS
FXStreet (Guatemala) - Analysts TD Securities noted the Central Banks coming up next week.
Key Quotes:
"FOMC Decision (Wed 29 Apr): This is not a meeting with a press conference or new forecasts, so we look for the focus to be on the Fed’s broader assessment of growth. A more dovish tone there could be a strong hint that the bias is shifting toward a later rather than sooner lift-off for rates. We also have the first print of Q1 GDP earlier in the day, where markets are looking for growth to decelerate to 1.0% SAAR, but we think that the risks lie toward a softer print of only 0.8% instead."
"Bank of Japan Decision (Thurs 30 Apr): Most analysts expect further BoJ easing at some point this year, the big question is just when, and if it could come as soon as this month. We get new forecasts from the BoJ at this coming meeting, and if inflation is downgraded substantially, and the return to target is pushed back much further into the future, that raises the risk that the BoJ becomes even more proactive in trying to boost inflation expectations through further easing."
"RBNZ Decision (Wed 29 Apr): No one expects a rate cut at this meeting, but markets do expect a softer tone, if not an outright easing bias. While the RBNZ “should” cut in our view, official noises suggest otherwise, so this should be a NZD-positive event."
Key Quotes:
"FOMC Decision (Wed 29 Apr): This is not a meeting with a press conference or new forecasts, so we look for the focus to be on the Fed’s broader assessment of growth. A more dovish tone there could be a strong hint that the bias is shifting toward a later rather than sooner lift-off for rates. We also have the first print of Q1 GDP earlier in the day, where markets are looking for growth to decelerate to 1.0% SAAR, but we think that the risks lie toward a softer print of only 0.8% instead."
"Bank of Japan Decision (Thurs 30 Apr): Most analysts expect further BoJ easing at some point this year, the big question is just when, and if it could come as soon as this month. We get new forecasts from the BoJ at this coming meeting, and if inflation is downgraded substantially, and the return to target is pushed back much further into the future, that raises the risk that the BoJ becomes even more proactive in trying to boost inflation expectations through further easing."
"RBNZ Decision (Wed 29 Apr): No one expects a rate cut at this meeting, but markets do expect a softer tone, if not an outright easing bias. While the RBNZ “should” cut in our view, official noises suggest otherwise, so this should be a NZD-positive event."