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South Africa: Market expects 25bps cut – TDS

The rate announcement in South Africa is expected on Thursday, analysts at TD Securities brief. The rand, fairly-to-slightly undervalued in the view of the SARB on 16 January, is now 11% weaker vs the US dollar with the USD/ZAR pair at 16.536.  

Key quotes

“The market is already priced for a total of three cuts through to September, with a full cut priced in for next Thursday. We don't think the market would react adversely to a 25bps cut.” 

“As we are now more aggressively positioned, we cannot exclude some negative rand reaction in case of a 50bps cut.”

 “ZAR likely to weaken, in case of 50bps cut as the market expects only 25bps of easing.”

 

Russia: CBR rate hike is underrepresented – TDS

The week of March 16th brings the rate announcements in Russia on Friday. The decision is scheduled during a time of extreme market turbulence, econom
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US Dollar Index Price Analysis: DXY holds on above 98.00 figure despite 100bps Fed’s cut

Two weeks ago DXY (US dollar index) suffered a dramatic decline which was then followed last week by the best weekly advance since October 2008. Volatility rem
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